As markets shift in response to global economic policy, political developments, and investor sentiment, many individuals are understandably wondering: Should I be doing something different with my portfolio right now? It’s a reasonable question, and one that’s come up repeatedly during periods of heightened market volatility. Historically, the answer is rarely to make drastic changes, but rather to refocus on long-term strategy, context, and diversification.
Understanding the Current Market Backdrop
After reaching a new high in February, the S&P 500 fell more than 8% during by the end of March before plummeting further in early April. Although we’ve seen a bit of a bounce back, its year-to-date performance remains well into negative territory. Much of the rally leading into the year was driven by optimism around lower taxes and economic growth. More recently, however, this optimism has been dampened by concerns over policy changes and talk of tariffs.
Despite this turbulence, international stocks have remained resilient, outperforming their U.S. counterparts. Fixed income has been another bright spot. As concerns about a potential economic slowdown grow, investors have shifted toward bonds, which have had a bumpy, yet positive year so far.
The Value of Diversification
This recent divergence in asset class performance highlights the core value of diversification. While U.S. equities have faced headwinds, international stocks and bonds have helped balance portfolios. For example, European markets were expected by many to be negatively impacted by U.S. tariffs yet have instead risen in 2025. Meanwhile, U.S. large-cap growth stocks, which have led the market over the past few years, are down, as are the “Magnificent 7” tech stocks. Conversely, U.S. large-cap value stocks, long considered underperformers, have performed less poorly.
Diversification doesn’t prevent losses, but it does provide balance since when one area of the market struggles, others may provide support.
Historical Context: This Isn’t New
As Mark Twain apocryphally said, “History doesn’t repeat itself, but it tends to rhyme.” While today’s headlines may feel unique, market reactions to uncertainty follow familiar patterns. Consider past periods of significant disruption:
- After the 2001 terrorist attacks, the S&P 500 fell more than 22% but delivered positive returns five of the next six years.
- Following the 2008 financial crisis, the S&P 500 experienced thirteen consecutive years of gains.
- During the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the S&P dropped 20% before rebounding to finish the year up more than 35% over a two-year period.
Even more distant events, such as Pearl Harbor and the 1962 “Kennedy slide,” both triggered short-term declines followed by long-term recovery. Market reactions are often sharp and emotional in the short run, but over time, resilience has been the rule.
The Role of a Steady Strategy
Even in normal years, volatility is a given. Historically, the S&P 500 sees an average peak-to-trough decline of about 14% annually, without a specific catalyst. Market fluctuations are not the exception; they’re part of the investing process.
Key Takeaways
Staying invested through market cycles with a diversified, goals-based portfolio has consistently been one of the most effective paths to building long-term wealth. Reacting emotionally or shifting strategies during short-term turbulence has often led to worse outcomes. Investors with a long-term strategy, diversified allocation, and a clear understanding of their financial goals are well positioned to weather periods of uncertainty. While market swings may be unsettling, they’re rarely a reason to abandon thoughtful planning.
For those who are concerned or facing more complex decisions, such as managing stock options, pre-IPO equity, or large tax exposures, this may be a good time to revisit your strategy with a qualified financial professional. For most investors, however, the most powerful move remains the simplest: Stay the course. Volatility is temporary. Long-term growth, historically, is not.